Palin As President?

palin as president

Palin As President

Never mind the satirical New Yorker cover a few months ago. And forget Entertainment Weekly’s recent take on it, featuring funnymen Jon Stewart and Stephen Colbert.

PalinAsPresident.com is arguably the most elaborately detailed spoof of the Oval Office’s possible future inhabitants yet created. The carefully constructed interactive site appears to have hit the Web in the past 24 hours (just in time to be played during tonight’s final presidential debate) and pokes fun at Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, the Republican vice presidential nominee. A quick online search shows only that the site’s architect has taken pains to cloak him or herself. But this much is clear — the creator is no Palinite.

Read the whole story here.

Play: Palin As President

Voter Registration Flashpoints

The Nation: Katrina vanden Heuvel

As we head into the final stretch of the election season, alarming reports of dysfunctional voter registration, purges of the rolls, and possible voter suppression are surfacing weekly, if not daily. The National Campaign for Fair Elections’ hotline (866.OUR.VOTE / 866.687.8683) is already receiving roughly a thousand calls a day; while the majority of these are requests for information, some concern problems with registration. The New York Times reports that tens of thousands of voters may have been illegally purged from the rolls in swing states. Other news sources speculate there are 600,000 voters at risk of disenfranchisement in Ohio alone. What goes unreported upon amid all this turmoil is how effective the response has been, and what can still be done.

Take Montana. On October 8th, US District Court Judge Donald Molloy issued a scathing ruling denouncing the state Republican Party’s effort to challenge the registration of 6,000 voters: “The timing of the challenges is so transparent it defies common sense to believe the purpose is anything but political chicanery.” The Montana Republican Party and its leaders, he wrote, “are abusing the process.”

The real danger is that the process itself is flawed. “We have an election system that’s exquisitely designed for low rates of participation,” says Tova Wang, Vice President of Research for Common Cause. “We’re expecting increased turnout and we have a system that’s not designed to handle it.” While these problems are endemic throughout our fractured electoral system, three states–Virginia, Florida, and Ohio–present both the challenges we face and the measures we might take to solve them. All three are closely contested, and an Obama victory will require every one.
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Presidential Forecast 10/21: 14 Days Left

Open Left: Chris Bowers:

Here is the campaign at a glance:

Victory Chart
Obama needs one of these states to win it all

State EV’s Obama % McCain % Margin # Polls
Virginia 13 52.5% 44.5% +8.0% 2
Colorado 9 51.0% 46.0% +5.0% 1
Nevada* 5 50.0% 45.0% +5.0% 1
North Carolina 15 49.0% 45.3% +3.7% 4
Ohio 20 47.7% 45.7% +2.0% 3
Missouri 11 47.0% 46.0% +1.0% 3
Florida 27 48.0% 47.5% +0.5% 4

* = If Obama only wins Nevada among these seven, that would force a 269-269 tie, which would almost certainly result in a victory in the House of Representatives, given the large Democratic lead there

Electoral College: Obama 306, McCain 171 Toss-up 61 (270 to win)

(Dark Blue (277): Obama +7.0% or more
Lean Blue (29): Obama +2.6%-+6.9%
White / Toss-up (61): Obama +2.5% to McCain +2.5%
Lean Red (35): McCain +2.6%-+6.9%
Dark Red (136): McCain +7.0% or more
)

Complete Tracking poll average

Org Obama McCain
ABC** 53% 44%
Gallup* 51.5% 43.0%
GWU 48% 47%
Hotline 47% 41%
Rasmussen 50% 46%
R2000 50% 42%
TIPP 46.9% 40.9%
Zogby 50.3% 42.4%
Mean 49.6% 43.3%

* = Gallup is an average of their expanded and traditional likely voter models
** = Yesterday’s numbers

I notice two things about these numbers. First, Obama is well ahead, with only 14 days left. Second, the number of states where he holds a statistically significant lead has shrunk to its lowest point since October 1st, at least in my reckoning. While that isn’t the most heartwarming trend, with only 14 days left, there is good reason to be thankful that Obama built such a large advantage earlier in the month.

Chris Bowers :: Presidential Forecast 10/21: 14 Days Left

A Watershed Election Year

L.A. Progressive:
By Dick Price and Sharon Kyle —

The several political or at least politically tinged events we attended this week showed us that the momentum for change is running fever pitch here in Los Angeles. Clearly, chickens have come home to roost for the woeful Bush Administration and the failed right-wing policies supporting it. Democratic candidates up and down the slate stand to benefit.

Lined Up on the Sidewalk in Pasadena
At Friday night’s opening of Pasadena’s United Democratic Headquarters (UDH), folks were lined up six deep on the sidewalk out front on Lake Avenue to hear the likes of LA County Democratic Party Chair Eric Bauman, Congressional candidate Russ Warner, and State Senate candidate Carol Liu rally the overflow crowd.

John Gallogly, our friend on the UDH steering committee, said that fund-raising for the headquarters has gone so well that his powerful group is considering supporting a “Red Counties” strategy, renting buses to take precinct walkers from Pasadena out to Palmdale or Riverside or other outlying regions to help Democratic candidates win races in traditionally Republican districts.

“Look at all these people. We’ll get more volunteers than we can use here in Pasadena,” John said. “If we could pick a couple places not too far away, we could make a difference there, too.”

Our Northeast Democratic Club is working on opening its headquarters in Highland Park. Tony Scudellari and club president Bill Rumble are selecting a location, probably somewhere on Figueroa Avenue, and heading up fundraising efforts. Although our section of Los Angeles is about as blue as blue can be, turnout is often quite low—just 7% for one recent city council race. Rather than pursue a “Red States, Red Counties” strategy, our club will focus on engaging more of the local populace in the electoral process.

Already, several key Democrats — Assemblymembers Kevin de Leon and Anthony Portantino, LA Councilmembers Ed Reyes and Jose Huizar — have kicked in to fund the headquarters, but there are fewer deep pockets here than in Pasadena, so we’ll need to rely on smaller home-based fundraising parties.

Stepping on the Roses in Lafayette Square
Thursday night, we attended a barbecue for State Assembly Speaker Karen Bass, hosted by Reggie Jones-Sawyer, whose spacious lawn was packed with Democrats from throughout Southern California. Organizers were expecting 50 guests, and the turnout was easily double that.

Sharon ran into Linda and Bobby Jones, old friends from two decades ago when they organized BAPAC — Black American Political Association of California — in the San Fernando Valley. Linda, a school board member in Palmdale, is running for the open Assembly seat in the 36th Assembly District—one of those traditionally Republican strongholds that are in play in this very hopeful year.

Bobby, a high school teacher and minister in Palmdale, says the Bush Administration’s mortgage crisis, soaring gas prices, and economic downturn have hit his region especially hard. “Even with the long commute, lots of people moved out there because they could afford to buy. But now every block has an abandoned house,” he said. “People are looking for a change — people who wouldn’t have thought to vote for a Democrat in the past.”

We eagerly signed up to help Linda’s campaign, either by organizing a fund-raiser here in Mt. Washington or by getting a bus full of precinct walkers out to her district.

While at the event, we ran into another candidate for the California Assembly, John MacMurray. MacMurray is running in the 72nd A.D. This north Orange County district has a growing Democratic population but he could use some help. If you are in that area, lend a hand.

We also ran into Cynthia Loo and Lori Ann Jones, two Superior Court candidates we’ve come to know in recent months. Sharon is halfway through her law studies at the People’s College of Law — where Cynthia serves as a volunteer law professor — and our surveys have shown that LA Progressive readers are especially thirsty for information about judicial races. Because we support these two candidates, we’re planning a fund-raising event for them as well. Look for more on that in coming weeks.

Around the political speeches, we also talked with Henry Vandermeir, president of the California Democratic Council, and Ahjamu Makalani, Brad Parker, and David Sonnenborn from the state party’s Progressive Caucus about ways we can ramp up our work on the CDC’s newsletter and support communications for the Progressive Caucus.

The Rub
The Rub, of course, is time. We’ve both got pretty demanding day jobs and kids to raise and commutes to make. In this fabulous year, with its real hope for fundamental political change — yes, we know Obama supported the FISA bill, but we think we know why, too — we could find progressive political activities to occupy our every single waking moment. (Friends do ask if we ever sleep.)

But we think we’ve got something going here with the LA Progressive, something that both feeds our own burning need to support change in our society and also — at least to judge from the response we get everywhere we go—supports others in making that change happen.

So, we’ll keep looking for ways to leverage our e-zine and weekly digital newsletter, forming alliances and recruiting new writers wherever we can (check out our new Florida correspondent, Dick’s Dad).

We also will keep looking for ways to make this enterprise at least pay for itself. You see on our website that we’ve got Google and Amazon ads in place, but we’ll need lots more traffic to the site for that to cover our costs. We’re also thinking of approaching compatible progressive political candidates and officeholders for display ads on our site and in our newsletter. It seems that they might want to reach our audience.

In the meantime, we’re having a ball — though we’ve just agreed that one night a week, each and every week, will be “romance night.” Just us. No email. No articles. No phone calls. So don’t bother us that night, whichever night that turns out to be.

Dick Price & Sharon Kyle
Editor & Publisher, LA Progressive

Obama to Meet His Fans in Europe

Der Spiegel:

Barack Obama, the man most Europeans would like to see elected the next US president, plans to visit Berlin, Paris and London soon. The Democratic candidate is looking for statesmanlike images to boost his campaign and German politicians will be hoping some of his popularity rubs off on them.

What will the new US president mean for Europe? And above all, what will he want from Europe? A group of Europeans and Americans recently engaged in heated debate on the subject on the sidelines of a trans-Atlantic conference at California’s Stanford University.

Charles Kupchan, the former top advisor to Bill Clinton and one of America’s best experts on Europe, gave a less than euphoric assessment. What will happen, he asked his audience, if the popular Barack Obama comes to Europe as US President and demands much more help in Afghanistan or Iraq? How will the Europeans respond?

These difficult questions won’t arise in earnest until next year at the earliest but German politicians will soon be able to meet Barack Obama in person. The Democratic contender made a surprise announcement at the weekend that he plans to visit Europe during the election campaign. In addition to Paris and London, he also intends to visit Berlin.

“France, Germany and the United Kingdom are key anchors of the trans-Atlantic alliance. And I look forward to discussing how we can strengthen our partnership in the years to come,” said Obama.
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Why Do Women Give McCain a Zero?

Brave New Films imagines what birth control options women would have if a Senator with a zero rating from Planned Parenthood and NARAL ProChoice America were elected President. Watch it:

Flashback: McCain Opposed Divestment From South Africa

Think Progress:

During his speech before the American-Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) touted the success of America’s divestment campaign from South Africa’s racist apartheid regime and proposed a similar policy towards Iran:

We should privatize the sanctions against Iran by launching a worldwide divestment campaign. …Years ago, the moral clarity and conviction of civilized nations came together in a divestment campaign against South Africa, helping to rid that nation of the evil of apartheid. In our day, we must use that same power and moral conviction against the regime in Iran, and help to safeguard the people of Israel and the peace of the world.

Years ago, McCain lacked the “moral clarity and conviction” to consistently support divestment from South Africa. Despite voting to override President Reagan’s veto of a bill imposing economic sanctions against South Africa in 1986, McCain voted against sanctions on at least six other occasions:

1985: Voted To Recommit Anti-Apartheid Act To Foreign Affairs Committee Postponing Sanctions Against South Africa: McCain voted to postpone for one year the imposition of any sanctions against South Africa, permitting the president to waive the sanctions if he determined that the African National Congress had not renounced violence. [HR 1460, Vote 129, 6/5/85, Failed 139-282, D 7-238; R 132-44; I 0-0]

1985: Voted To Allow U.S. Firms Continue Investing In South Africa: McCain voted to let U.S. firms continue investing in South Africa if their units comply with a code of worker rights. [HR 1460, Vote 110, 5/21/85, Failed 148-256, D 3-227; R 145-29; I 0-0]

1985: Voted Against Requiring Immediate Withdrawal Of U.S. Investment From South Africa: McCain voted against imposing a total ban on U.S. exports to South Africa. [HR 1460, Vote 128, 6/5/85, Failed 77-345, D 77-167; R 0-178; I 0-0]

1985: Voted Against Establishing A Commission To Study Apartheid In South Africa And To Recommend Sanctions: McCain voted against establishing a commission to study apartheid in South Africa and to recommend what sanctions the United States should impose on the government. [HR 1460, Vote 126, 6/5/85, Failed 108-310, D 6-235; R 102-75; I 0-0]

1985: Voted Against Imposing Sanctions Against South Africa: McCain voted against imposing sanctions immediately against South Africa. [HR 1460, Vote 130, 6/5/85, Passed 295-127, D 239-6; R 56-121; I 0-0]

1986: Voted Against Considering Imposing Economic Sanctions Against South Africa: McCain voted against providing for House floor consideration of the bill to impose economic sanctions against South Africa. [HR 4868, Vote 159, 6/18/86, Passed 286-127, D 238-4; R 48-123; I 0-0]

McCain’s schizophrenic voting record on divestment undermines his lofty campaign rhetoric and moral platitudes. McCain was as slow to recognize the importance of “helping to rid that nation of the evil of apartheid” as he is quick to consider bombing Iran.

Obama seals nomination: ‘This is our moment’

Obama

ST. PAUL, Minn. — Cheered by a roaring crowd, Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois laid claim to the Democratic presidential nomination Tuesday night, taking a historic step toward his once-improbable goal of becoming the nation’s first black president. Hillary Rodham Clinton maneuvered for the vice presidential spot on his fall ticket without conceding her own defeat.

“America, this is our moment,” the 46-year-old senator and one-time community organizer said in his first appearance as the Democratic nominee-in-waiting. “This is our time. Our time to turn the page on the policies of the past.”

Clinton praised Obama warmly in an appearance before supporters in New York, although she neither acknowledged his victory in their grueling marathon nor offered a concession of any sort.

Instead, she said she was committed to a unified party and would spend the next few days determining “how to move forward with the best interests of our country and our party guiding my way.”

Obama’s victory set up a five-month campaign with Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona, a race between a first-term Senate opponent of the Iraq War and a 71-year-old former Vietnam prisoner of war and staunch supporter of the current U.S. military mission.

And both men seemed eager to begin.
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McCain: I’d Spy on Americans Secretly, Too

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Wired

If elected president, Senator John McCain would reserve the right to run his own warrantless wiretapping program against Americans, based on the theory that the president’s wartime powers trump federal criminal statutes and court oversight, according to a statement released by his campaign Monday.

McCain’s new tack towards the Bush administration’s theory of executive power comes some 10 days after a McCain surrogate stated, incorrectly it seems, that the senator wanted hearings into telecom companies’ cooperation with President Bush’s warrantless wiretapping program, before he’d support giving those companies retroactive legal immunity.

As first reported by Threat Level, Chuck Fish, a full-time lawyer for the McCain campaign, also said McCain wanted stricter rules on how the nation’s telecoms work with U.S. spy agencies, and expected those companies to apologize for any lawbreaking before winning amnesty.
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Clinton Still Believes In Iraq Mission

Chris Bowers, Open Left:

The reason Hillary Clinton has never apologized for her Iraq war vote is because she clearly believes in the American “mission” in Iraq.

Here is a statement from her campaign today on the deaths of 4,000 American soldiers in Iraq:

“In the last five years, our soldiers have done everything we asked of them and more. They were asked to remove Saddam Hussein from power and bring him to justice and they did. They were asked to give the Iraqi people the opportunity for free and fair elections and they did. They were asked to give the Iraqi government the space and time for political reconciliation, and they did. So for every American soldier who has made the ultimate sacrifice for this mission, we should imagine carved in stone: ‘They gave their life for the greatest gift one can give to a fellow human being, the gift of freedom.’

Clinton presents Iraq as a resounding success where a tyrannical regime was removed from power, and freedom was brought to the Iraqi people. From this perspective, withdrawal is justified because the major missions have been accomplished, not because the war itself was a mistake. Also, as has been repeatedly made clear over the past twelve months, a sizable residual force will be left behind to continue some of the secondary missions of the war.

Compare this to Obama’s statement on 4,000:

Each death is a tragedy, and we honor every fallen American and send our thoughts and prayers to their families. It is past time to end this war that should never have been waged by bringing our troops home, and finally pushing Iraq’s leaders to take responsibility for their future. As we do, we must serve the memory of all who have died as well as they served our country, by providing support for their families, caring for our troops and veterans, and upholding the American values which our fallen heroes exemplified through their service.”

For all the supposed lack of policy differences between Obama and Clinton, even on their Iraq withdrawal plans, this remains a fundamental, deeply ideological discrepancy. As I wrote earlier today, the Iraq war has ended America’s brief tenure as the world’s only superpower, and effectively instigated a genocide in Iraq. If you still think this was a good idea that was worth the costs, even if it was badly managed, then you simply have a fundamentally different view of the world and America’s role in the world than someone who thinks the war was a mistake and not worth the costs. Even though I know it is something no presidential candidate can ever directly say and still hope to remain viable, the fact is that our soldiers in Iraq did not die for a good cause. Quite the opposite has occurred: they died as part of an effort that has eroded America’s power faster than any other event since the Civil War, and which has created one of the worst humanitarian crises in the past fifty years. It was a mistake of colossal proportions, not “the greatest gift one can give to a fellow human being.” A candidate’s ability or inability to recognize that mistake remains the best pos

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